Edition #21 - Are We Ready for Universal Basic Income?
What happens to work, dignity, and survival when AI changes the rules
By Mykel Salomon ·
🔓 Opening Reflection
There’s a question sitting beneath almost every conversation about AI, even when people don’t say it out loud:
If machines do more of the work… how do humans survive?
Not theoretically. Not one day. Practically.
How do we pay rent? How do we raise kids? How do we keep businesses alive if fewer people are earning? How does an economy function if productivity rises, but purchasing power falls?
That is why this week’s newsletter is not really about policy first. It is about the kind of future we are walking into.
Universal Basic Income, or UBI, sits right at the center of that future debate.
To some, it sounds like freedom. To others, it sounds like dependency. To many, it sounds impossible.
But whether you support it or not, one thing is clear:
AI is forcing us to ask questions about work, value, and dignity that we can no longer postpone.
🔦 Signal of the Week
The labor picture is already shifting.
The World Economic Forum’s Future of Jobs Report 2025 says employers expect 39% of workers’ core skills to change by 2030, and projects a net gain in jobs overall, but only alongside massive churn and retraining needs.
That same WEF work also says 59 out of every 100 workers will need reskilling or upskilling by 2030, while 11 out of 100 may not receive the training they need.
The OECD has also flagged how deeply AI is reaching into the labor market, noting that one in three job vacancies show high AI exposure in its discussion of the AI skills gap.
So this isn’t really a fringe question anymore. If work changes faster than people can adapt, then income stability stops being a niche policy debate and becomes a social one.
🌍 In the Wild
We already have clues about what a UBI-like future might look like.
1) Finland’s national basic income experiment
Finland’s government-backed trial found that basic income did not significantly increase employment, but it did improve well-being, reduce stress, and lessen bureaucracy for recipients.
That matters. Because one of the biggest arguments against UBI is that people will disengage from work entirely. Finland’s results suggest the story is more nuanced: people may not suddenly become more employed, but they may become more stable, healthier, and less crushed by systems.
2) The OpenResearch unconditional cash study
The large U.S. cash-transfer study backed by OpenResearch found recipients gained more flexibility, autonomy, and in some cases used the money to pursue better jobs, move, or invest in family stability. Some reporting also noted people worked slightly less overall, which critics immediately focused on.
That is the tension in one line:
more freedom
but less labor supplied in the short term
And that is exactly why this conversation is so hard.
3) The bigger question beneath the policy
UBI is not only about whether people “work less.” It is about whether we are willing to separate survival from constant economic insecurity in a future where productivity may no longer require as many people in the same roles.
⚖️ The Case For, and the Case Against
Why some people support UBI
It could create a floor beneath people during AI-driven disruption
It could reduce poverty volatility and administrative complexity compared with fragmented welfare systems
It may give people more room to retrain, relocate, care for family, or start something new
Why others resist it
It may reduce labor supply, at least somewhat, depending on design and amount
It raises hard questions about cost, taxation, inflation, and political feasibility
It risks becoming an excuse for companies to automate aggressively without investing in retraining or human transition
This is why I do not think the real question is simply: “Are you for or against UBI?”
The deeper question is:
What social contract do we need if AI rewrites the meaning of work?
💬 The Big Question
If paid work becomes less central to survival, what becomes the new foundation of dignity?
And if we do nothing, who absorbs the shock first?
🧠 A Small Exercise
Take ten quiet minutes and write your answers to these:
What part of my identity is tied to work?
If my role changed dramatically in the next three years, what would I need most: income, training, community, time, or something else?
Do I believe humans deserve security only if they are economically efficient?
What would a “just transition” actually look like in my industry?
This is not about ideology. It is about honesty.
🎙️ This Week’s Episode
Episode: The AI Revolution: Bridging the Gap for Small Businesses Guest: Roberto Martinez | CEO & Founder Braven Agency
In an era where artificial intelligence dominates headlines, many small businesses feel overwhelmed and disconnected from this technological wave. With the perception that AI is only for big corporations, smaller enterprises often overlook the transformative potential it holds for their growth and efficiency.
In this episode of The Human Protocol, Mykel Salomon sits down with Roberto Martinez to explore how small businesses can move past the fear, confusion, and hype around AI and start using it in practical, accessible ways.
We talk about:
Why many small businesses assume AI is only for large enterprises
How AI can help smaller teams improve efficiency without losing their human touch
Where small businesses should start when adopting AI tools
The importance of using AI to support growth, not create more chaos
How business owners can bridge the gap between curiosity and real implementation
This episode is a reminder that AI is not reserved for the biggest players. Used well, it can become a real advantage for small businesses willing to learn, adapt, and build intentionally.
🎧 Available on: Spotify | Apple Podcasts | YouTube
🧭 Thought to End the Week
A future designed only for efficiency will eventually run out of people who can afford to live in it.
So maybe the question is not whether UBI is radical.
Maybe the question is whether pretending the old system will hold is even more radical.
— Mykel